Fearless predictions for 2006

OK …. I know you’ve been waiting for this …. my picks for 2006 :-)

NL EAST

Atlanta Braves – pick them every year until they fail

New York Mets – improved offense will be offset by lack of quality starting pitching
Philadelphia Phillies – 3B is a mess, Gordon is a risk closer, and not enough starting pitching

Washington Nationals – Bowden’s Bunglers won’t come anywhere NEAR 81 wins this time

Florida Marlins – Girardi will have them playing hard, but there is just too much inexperience on the team

 

NL CENTRAL

St. Louis Cardinals – corner OF concerns, recovery of Rolen are keys to repeating
Milwaukee Brewers (WC) – youth movement continues to make progress, but still 1-2 years away from being "The Team to Beat"

Houston Astros – no Bagwell means a better overall lineup, but starting pitching shallow after Pettitte and Oswalt

Chicago Cubs – Zambrano is the only reliable starter, but improved offense should make for lots of 8-7 games

Pittsburgh Pirates – Jason Bay can’t do it all.  Can Duke improve on his rookie stats?
Cincinnati Reds – the worst pitching staff in the NL

NL WEST

Los Angeles Dodgers – deep pitching staff will carry them far; defense needs some work though, and Furcal needs to be 100%

Arizona Diamondbacks – D’backs youth movement making progress; can Webb win 20?

San Diego Padres – some very old past-prime players in key positions, but Barfield will be fun to watch

San Francisco Giants – speaking of old …. the Giants will be sponsored by AARP.  Bonds’ health will of course mean the difference between 4th and 5th place.
Colorado Rockies – back to the "great hitting/lousy pitching" days, only this time with kids

NL pennant: Dodgers

AL EAST

New York Yankees – they’ll score 950, and give up 875

Toronto Blue Jays – even with addition of Overbay and Glaus, not enough consistent offense, and defense will miss Hudson

Boston Red Sox – fragile pitching staff, and they lost a LOT of offense during the offseason

Baltimore Orioles – if they had the Devil Rays offense …. they’d be dangerous
Tampa Bay Devil Rays – if they had the Orioles starting pitching … they’d be dangerous

 

AL CENTRAL

Cleveland Indians – time to take the next step; bullpen will be key (can Wickman do it again)

Chicago White Sox (WC) – best starting pitching in division, but the bullpen looks very shaky; Thome’s bat will make the difference between 85 wins and 90 wins.          
Minnesota Twins – Santana can’t pitch all 162, and the addition of Castillo, White not enough on the offense side; Morneau should rebound nicely though

Detroit Tigers – could very well beat out Twins … IF the young pitchers come through

Kansas City Royals – have already been mathematically eliminated from post-season contention

 

AL WEST

Oakland A’s – prohibitive favorite on basis of best pitching in AL; Thomas the perfect DH; Street the real deal as closer

L.A. Angels of Anaheim – Guerrero will need help from youthful lineup to cover middling starting pitching

Texas Rangers – the Soriano deal was terrific, IF Wilkerson is healthy.  Still not enough quality starting pitching

Seattle Mariners – Beltre will rebound from subpar 2005, but starting pitching is a shambles

AL Pennant: A’s

WS: A’s over Dodgers in 6

5 Comments

You didn’t pick wild card teams. You never know about them. They have been known to win a World Series or two, or three.

A’s v. Dodgers will do wonders for the TV ratings on the East Coast.

Actually Kellia … I DID pick wildcard teams (WC).

Milwaukee and the White Sox will be the Wild Cards, but will not advance.

Do we have a Predictatron for this year?

Ah, WC = Wild Card. missed that. Too much rain gets in the way of seeing straight after a while.

Mike:
They just put up the Predictatron contest today …

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/pt/entry.php

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